MY UPDATED EURO 2024 FANTASY DRAFT! | EURO 2024 FANTASY TIPS STRATEGY AND ADVICE

Your vid will get me into this 😂

is there any defenders that are on pens? would be OP if there was. Love the vids !

L hernandez? Not for me….that's a pretty basic error

L Hernandez not gonna play

Great video mate! Feel that front 3 will be very template and for very good reason

I think people tend to overrate Dimarco when looking at his club numbers, which are the main reason I see him picked up in most videos about drafts. Remember to separate the performance one does in for his club and for his national team – coaches are different have different ideas on how to get the best out of him. The Italian national is nowhere near as good offensively as Inter Milan's, so he's going to be way less productive.

Rice for England, is he worth considering? Being Scottish i haven't watched too much of England 😂 and not sure how attacking his role is?

The 40% of international goals coming from set pieces is a cool stat but context is important because about 35% of prem goals come from set pieces. That's only a 5% difference so not sure why you would put so much weight on it when making your decisions

You definitely forgot on Bakayoko, who will play 100% this EURO for Belgium

0:53 This is false logic, teams will NOT average 1 penalty per 3 games:
(I'm a stats nerd so I will give the you exact chance below🔽)

Assuming 1 in 3 games has a penalty in it, a team would expect to find themselves in 1 game that has a penalty in it, but 50% of the time this goes to the opponent, making the chance of a group stage penalty far less:

There will be 1 penalty in your 3 matches 44% of the time
There will be 2 penalties in your 3 matches 22% of the time
There will be 3(+) penalties in your 3 matches 4% of the time

However…

In terms of how likely YOUR TEAM is to take them:
You will take just 1 penalty in the group stage 34.5% of the time
You will take 2 penalties in the group stage 7% of the time
You will take 3(+) penalties in the group stage <1% of the time

Then remember forwards get 4 per pen scored and -2 per miss
Midfielders get 5 per pen scored and -2 per miss
0.8 penalties get scored

So the expected points gain for a forward per penalty is +2.8 points
And the expected points gain for a midfielder per penalty is +3.6 points

Things look slightly more bleak, so tread with caution on the penalty taker front. Pick players who shine on the outfield goal-threat front. However, if you do back penalty-takers, because they're a safe fpl option (less variance, more 'guaranteed' points) make sure they bang them in 90% of the time and it helps if they're a midfielder not a forward.

Hope that was useful, boy I do love stats.

Frimpong a good pick?

What do you think of Kane, Mbappe and Dovbyk upfront?

Hakan won't be on penalties if Cenk Tosun is on the pitch.