The European Championship is coming up soon and I wanted to do an interesting commentary on something weird I noticed going on. I hope it’s interesting and if you like my content I would greatly appreciate a sub!
Lol your math is pretty lacking, quite a few of those countries were never favorites or even considerable to win first of all. Just Germany, England, Netherlands, France and somewhat Portugal. that's 5 teams that didn't win a euros with 8-24teams, lets say 16 on average. Let's say a good team will win 1in5, then it's nowhere near 'insane' that you have 0 out 5. Besides that, being qualified without a qualification round is probably not the best way to work towards a tournament. So it makes sense for host-teams to underperform somewhat, but you're gonna need a sample that's about 100 times this to have any idea about it, so good luck waiting a year or 400.
There is nothing bewildering about this. Home field advantage is not an advantage. On the contrary, the crushing pressure of the expectations can infringe the lightfootedness of players who might be willing to risk more but also be less prone to over zealous mistakes when the stakes aren't so high. Brazil – Germany 2014 world cup semi final on home turf is the best example. You see this in world cups a lot too.
This video doesn’t really make sense if you’re looking at probabilities. There are 16 teams in the euros so the fact that 3/16 host teams have won it makes the host team 3 times more likely than a regular team to win it which makes sense considering they have home advantage it’s not really that crazy. And lots of the host teams weren’t favourites and are smaller countries who are just worse than other teams.
It is not really a curse. It just shows that it is very hard to win an international tournament even when you are the host. Sometimes it even gives more pressure to perform.
At first glance yeah, but because there isn't a real "home field advantage", the probability of the host nation winning is almost 0. Not to mention, everyone wants to beat them the most. Because it's the "hardest hit". But a trend you found, none the less.
As someone who watches sports. Lots of different sports. You really never know whats gonna happen. Thats why sports betting is a thing. At least when it comes to team sports, theres soo much going on. The pressures of being favorites is an unpredictable thing. Home advantage in football seems like its a thing when its knockout game or round robin. But if you watch american sports where there are 7 game series, youll know home advantages are not a deal breaker. And for euro cups and world cups travel isnt a thing because all the teams are camping in the host country. This euro cup is really hard to predict, i wouldnt bet on Germany doing it. They could but this is sports dont bet on anything.
Average Italy side who was heading towards 37 games unbeaten gaining a world record. Average Italy team that defeated Belguim, Spain and England who were ranked in the top 5. You continue to celebrate mediocrity in England
I think a lot of European teams are just struggling with their identity and lack of real talent.
Spain, are trying to replicate 2008-2012 and that’s very very hard considering how great their players were, and how much depth they had.
Germany also tryna replicate 2014, but their team is just not good enough, a lot of their positions are filled with some people no one have even heard of. (Also may be due to their historical clubs kicking the buckle after years of Bayern dominance and Bayern also realizing those German talent producing clubs aren’t there so they can’t just snatch up all the Germans, and now have to buy players of different nationalities.
Italy won the euros because they were good, but a lot of those good players are gone, or past their prime.
Netherlands just don’t seem cohesive enough compared to other teams
And actually all these teams have goal scoring problems.
There seems to be a epidemic of where there’s no real strikers anymore, no one you can hope will find their way onto a ball as long as it’s in the box.
I mean really, there’s only a few countries that really have clinical strikers and some of those teams have like 3 or 4 while others don’t have any.
it’s not really curse it just happens it’s football euro 2024 won’t really be a curse if germany aren’t even top. 3 favorites 2012 euros let’s be honest ukraine and poland were one of the worst teams an the euros 2012 easily just because you the host the euros means you will easily the euros
42 Comments
Cr7 was 19 in the euro 2004 btw
bro is onto nothing
So Germany won’t win it this summer, got it
Lol your math is pretty lacking, quite a few of those countries were never favorites or even considerable to win first of all.
Just Germany, England, Netherlands, France and somewhat Portugal. that's 5 teams that didn't win a euros with 8-24teams, lets say 16 on average. Let's say a good team will win 1in5, then it's nowhere near 'insane' that you have 0 out 5. Besides that, being qualified without a qualification round is probably not the best way to work towards a tournament. So it makes sense for host-teams to underperform somewhat, but you're gonna need a sample that's about 100 times this to have any idea about it, so good luck waiting a year or 400.
This video is just cringe.
There is nothing bewildering about this. Home field advantage is not an advantage. On the contrary, the crushing pressure of the expectations can infringe the lightfootedness of players who might be willing to risk more but also be less prone to over zealous mistakes when the stakes aren't so high. Brazil – Germany 2014 world cup semi final on home turf is the best example. You see this in world cups a lot too.
This video doesn’t really make sense if you’re looking at probabilities. There are 16 teams in the euros so the fact that 3/16 host teams have won it makes the host team 3 times more likely than a regular team to win it which makes sense considering they have home advantage it’s not really that crazy. And lots of the host teams weren’t favourites and are smaller countries who are just worse than other teams.
Correction: Cristiano was 19, not 17, during EURO 2004.
This doesnt mean anything good for me as a german…
Florian witz
Cursed and unlucky to win is not the same thing
"Average italian team" wtf are u on about?
It is not really a curse. It just shows that it is very hard to win an international tournament even when you are the host. Sometimes it even gives more pressure to perform.
Pointless video
German 🇩🇪❤❤❤
Though this is a good video, the narrative is just meh. Hosting a tournament doesn't make you a winner. Look at World Cups for example… Same goes.
And if you say there were minor host countries for WC, same goes for the Euro 😉
Not an avid football watcher, but this makes me want to support them. I like Bellingham, but this video made me root for Germany
Denmark won in 1992 yay
Im German and we are going to fail group stage as always… 😂
At first glance yeah, but because there isn't a real "home field advantage", the probability of the host nation winning is almost 0. Not to mention, everyone wants to beat them the most. Because it's the "hardest hit". But a trend you found, none the less.
Since toni kroos is back, they might break the curse
georgia is winning
Man said Florian Ritz ☠
Come on it’s Poland 😂 (I say it as a Pole myself btw)
How boreing it would be if the hosts always won
0:11 He wasn’t 17. He turned 19 in February that year
As someone who watches sports. Lots of different sports. You really never know whats gonna happen. Thats why sports betting is a thing. At least when it comes to team sports, theres soo much going on. The pressures of being favorites is an unpredictable thing. Home advantage in football seems like its a thing when its knockout game or round robin. But if you watch american sports where there are 7 game series, youll know home advantages are not a deal breaker. And for euro cups and world cups travel isnt a thing because all the teams are camping in the host country. This euro cup is really hard to predict, i wouldnt bet on Germany doing it. They could but this is sports dont bet on anything.
1992 should’ve been Denmark because they won without even qualifying.
Average Italy side who was heading towards 37 games unbeaten gaining a world record. Average Italy team that defeated Belguim, Spain and England who were ranked in the top 5. You continue to celebrate mediocrity in England
About Germany, I just one word for you guys,
Japan
Italy should of had 2 players sent off in the 2020 final with 20 minutes left and England would of scored again
I think a lot of European teams are just struggling with their identity and lack of real talent.
Spain, are trying to replicate 2008-2012 and that’s very very hard considering how great their players were, and how much depth they had.
Germany also tryna replicate 2014, but their team is just not good enough, a lot of their positions are filled with some people no one have even heard of. (Also may be due to their historical clubs kicking the buckle after years of Bayern dominance and Bayern also realizing those German talent producing clubs aren’t there so they can’t just snatch up all the Germans, and now have to buy players of different nationalities.
Italy won the euros because they were good, but a lot of those good players are gone, or past their prime.
Netherlands just don’t seem cohesive enough compared to other teams
And actually all these teams have goal scoring problems.
There seems to be a epidemic of where there’s no real strikers anymore, no one you can hope will find their way onto a ball as long as it’s in the box.
I mean really, there’s only a few countries that really have clinical strikers and some of those teams have like 3 or 4 while others don’t have any.
Very good video and well documented. Also the analysis on Germany 2024. Got me as a subscriber, dude
What did France do 2022?
Kinds of comments you kinda expect coming from a SOCCER fan in the US.
Technically Italy won the euros while hosting in 2020
this is one more reason i will support Germany this Euros
Ronaldo was 19 during EURO 2004 – not 17!
if portugal managed to play as a team, we would be scary to play
The best TEAM won
ronaldo was 19 when euro 2004 went on. how do you not know this?
it’s not really curse it just happens it’s football euro 2024 won’t really be a curse if germany aren’t even top. 3 favorites 2012 euros let’s be honest ukraine and poland were one of the worst teams an the euros 2012 easily just because you the host the euros means you will easily the euros