Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Sunderland
Fourth-placed Aston Villa, in the hunt for a Champions League spot, host Sunderland at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 06:00 on Sunday 19 April.
Villa Set to Deliver Victory
Aston Villa look like the bet to place on the Full-Time Result market, especially as odds of -156 are available. Back our value selection with confidence when they clash with Sunderland.
Last H2H Clash Ended 1-1
Aston Villa played out a 1-1 draw when they were last in Premier League action. This was on the road at City Ground against Nottingham Forest. The Birmingham side had most of the ball boasting 59% possession and five shots on target, with a Murillo own goal on the scoresheet.
On Thursday night, Villa progressed to the Europa League semi-finals after beating Bologna 4-0 in the second leg of their quarter-final, sealing a 7-1 aggregate victory.
Sunderland beat Tottenham in their previous Premier League match, making it back-to-back league wins. It was a 1-0 home victory at Stadium of Light. The Black Cats enjoyed 53% possession and had two shots on goal, with Nordi Mukiele finding the net in the 61st minute.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 1-1 draw when Sunderland and Villa last clashed, with the former hosting this head-to-head at Stadium of Light.
Aston Villa – Last 10 League Games
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts. Villa have had 54.4% possession, 462.0 passes and 5.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.2 corners.
Top goalscorer Ollie Watkins has found the net 2 times, with John McGinn, Ross Barkley, Douglas Luiz and Tammy Abraham scoring 1 each. Jadon Sancho has the most assists with 2, while goalie Emiliano Martinez has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Sunderland – Last 10 League Games
Sunderland have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.0 goals from 10.2 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal. The Wearside team average 45.1% possession, 357.6 passes, 3.4 corners in their favour and 5.9 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 14.5 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.
We’ve seen Brian Brobbey, Chemsdine Talbi and Habib Diarra score 2 goals each. Habib Diarra, Reinildo and Nordi Mukiele have clocked up 1 assists, with Robin Roefs keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Marco Bizot (GK), Matty Cash, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Ross Barkley, Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.
Sunderland predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs (GK), Nordi Mukiele, Luke O’Nien, Omar Alderete, Reinildo, Noah Sadiki, Granit Xhaka, Chris Rigg, Habib Diarra, Enzo Le Fee, Brian Brobbey.
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our top Aston Villa vs Sunderland betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, expected corners bet, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
Aston Villa are priced at -156 to secure a victory and we think these odds look too big. We’re expecting the hosts to land a Premier League win and a nice potential return could be on the cards.
We’re always monitoring the Premier League team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key Aston Villa vs Sunderland league stats:
Villa have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.Villa have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
Villa to Win Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 61% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 70% based on our in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
For those bettors who want to boost their odds for Villa to secure a victory, why not combine this pick with some of the other available options in a Bet Builder.
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Our Match Prediction
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 17, 12:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 12:27, 17 April 2026
Player Prop Picks
Brian Brobbey (Sunderland) has fired over 2.5 shots in his past two Premier League matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of +125 available.
Latest Brian Brobbey Player Prop Odds
Goalscorer
Shots
Ollie Watkins (Villa) can be backed to score at +165. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.
Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds
Goalscorer
Shots
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Latest Match Odds Suggest Villa Victory
Aston Villa are the -143 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 59% chance of winning this Premier League encounter according to the latest betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +410 about Sunderland.
One Asian Handicap bet involves backing Villa -0.75 at -111. If they beat Sunderland by 2+ goals, you get a full payout. You also get a return on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.
If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is far from clear over whether Overs or Unders happens. If you think both teams will score, then BTTS Yes could appeal. Otherwise, you can back BTTS No as an alternative.
Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Premier League game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.
Full-Time Result
Half-Time Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Asian Handicap
Total Goals
Both Teams to Score
Ollie Watkins Top of First Goalscorer List
You will find favourite Ollie Watkins at +420 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +170 that he finds the net any time.
Player Goals
Ollie Watkins (Villa)
Tammy Abraham (Villa)
Morgan Rogers (Villa)
Emiliano Buendía (Villa)
Player Shots
Ollie Watkins (Villa)
Morgan Rogers (Villa)
Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)
Ross Barkley (Villa)
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Villa Park
Can Villa Land Yet Another Home Win?
Aston Villa have secured three straight victories at Villa Park. Unai Emery’s side have recorded five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Sunderland have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. The Black Cats have finished with four draws, four defeats and two win in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Aston Villa Home Stats
5-1-4
2.70
1.50
1.20
4
6
4
6
Sunderland Away Stats
2-4-4
2.30
0.70
1.60
5
5
5
5
W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
G = Avg. Goals
GF = Avg. Goals For
GA = Avg. Goals Against
O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
B-No = Matches BTTS No
Expert Analysis by Jack Davies
English Football Analyst
About the Analyst
Jack Davies is a Senior Football Analyst with over 10 years of experience as an odds compiler and in-play trader. He leads our Premier League coverage, applying a data-led methodology and first-hand tactical insight to identify long-term market value.
Premier League Predictions Methodology
Our Premier League match previews and predictions combine team news, injuries and predicted lineups with form, standings and performance. We also use metrics such as xG, xGA, xA and PPDA alongside odds movement to assess chance quality, defensive strength and pressing intensity in the English top flight.
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 17, 15:09 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, predicted and confirmed lineups, advanced performance metrics and market movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Football Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our main match predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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