Premier League Betting Preview: Everton vs Liverpool

Fierce rivals Everton and Liverpool clash in the Merseyside derby at Hill Dickinson Stadium, with kick-off set for 06:00 on Sunday 19 April.

Reds Facing Tough Test vs Toffees

Everton, with two consecutive Premier League home wins, are now just five points behind a Liverpool side that has lost their last four away games in all competitions.

Considering the latest form, xG data, Liverpool’s long injury list and a demanding recent schedule, we’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Everton +0.25 at -119. We need the hosts to win for a full payout, while a draw results in half a win.

Liverpool Hit by Consecutive Away Losses

Everton played out a 2-2 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Gtech Community Stadium against Brentford. The Toffees had 45% of possession and six shots on target, while Beto and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall each scored one goal.

Liverpool have lost their previous two Premier League games on the road. Their most recent league match was at home at Anfield where they secured a 2-0 win against Fulham. Arne Slot’s side were 53% in the possession stakes and had five shots on goal, while Rio Ngumoha and Mohamed Salah were both on target.

On Tuesday night, Liverpool suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Paris Saint-Germain in the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final, going out 4-0 on aggregate.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liverpool are bidding for a third successive derby win against Everton, with their previous two victories coming at Anfield by 2-1 and 1-0 scorelines. The last 10 head-to-head meetings have produced six Liverpool wins, two draws and two Everton victories.

Everton – Last 10 League Games

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. Everton have had 45.7% possession, 414.0 passes and 4.6 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 13.7 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.7 corners.

Top scorer Beto has found the net 5 times, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 3, with Iliman Ndiaye and Thierno Barry both scoring 2. Idrissa Gana Gueye and James Garner are top assists makers with 3, while goalkeeper Jordan Pickford has kept 2 clean sheets.

Liverpool – Last 10 League Games

Liverpool have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.9 goals from 16.3 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. The Reds average 56.3% possession, 496.0 passes, 7.4 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Dominik Szoboszlai, Virgil van Dijk and Hugo Ekitike have scored 3 goals, followed by Mohamed Salah with 2. Mohamed Salah is top assists provider with 3, while Alisson Becker and Giorgi Mamardashvili have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Everton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford (GK), Jake O’Brien, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mykolenko, James Garner, Idrissa Gana Gueye, Dwight McNeil, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Iliman Ndiaye, Beto.

Liverpool predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Giorgi Mamardashvili (GK), Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson, Curtis Jones, Dominik Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Rio Ngumoha, Cody Gakpo.

Everton vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Everton vs Liverpool, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Everton +0.25 for this derby game, with odds of -119 available. We have a feeling that David Moyes’ side can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Premier League injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Everton vs Liverpool league stats:

The +0.25 line has been covered by Everton in 4 of their last 5 games.The +0.25 line has been covered by Everton in 7 of their last 10 games.The +0.25 line has been covered by Everton in 2 consecutive games.The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Everton +0.25 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 54.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

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Our Match Prediction


Everton Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -119

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 17, 12:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Published 12:28, 17 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) has finished with over 2.5 shots in back-to-back Premier League games. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Player Shots line at odds of +107.

Latest Mohamed Salah Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

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Shots

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Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton) has racked up three goals in his past seven Premier League matches on home soil. It’s worth a play on the +450 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

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Shots

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Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Everton vs Liverpool Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Liverpool Trading at Shorter Odds Than Everton

At betting odds of +130, the bookies make Liverpool probable winners and there’s a 43% likelihood that the favourites triumph in the Merseyside derby. Everton are seen as the most unlikely winner at +215.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Liverpool at -167 and Everton at +115.

If you’re wagering on Total Goals, the market is far from clear over whether Unders or Overs happens. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -159.

For those visiting one of our recommended sports betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Premier League matches. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

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Half-Time Result

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Double Chance

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Draw No Bet

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Asian Handicap

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Total Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Hugo Ekitike Top of First Goalscorer List

Favourite Hugo Ekitike is +390 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Player Goals

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)

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Beto (Everton)

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Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

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Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

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Player Shots

Beto (Everton)

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Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

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Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

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Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Hill Dickinson Stadium

Hill Dickinson Stadium

Four of Previous Ten Everton Home Clashes Have Ended in Defeat

Everton have finished with four defeats, three wins and three draws in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Liverpool have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

The previous Hill Dickinson Stadium encounter involved a 2-2 draw between Everton and Liverpool.

Everton logo Everton Home Stats
3-3-4
2.50
1.40
1.10
4
6
5
5

Liverpool logo Liverpool Away Stats
4-3-3
2.80
1.50
1.30
6
4
6
4

W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
G = Avg. Goals
GF = Avg. Goals For
GA = Avg. Goals Against
O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
B-No = Matches BTTS No

Expert Analysis by Jack Davies

English Football Analyst

About the Analyst

Jack Davies is a Senior Football Analyst with over 10 years of experience as an odds compiler and in-play trader. He leads our Premier League coverage, applying a data-led methodology and first-hand tactical insight to identify long-term market value.

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Premier League Predictions Methodology

Our Premier League match previews and predictions combine team news, injuries and predicted lineups with form, standings and performance. We also use metrics such as xG, xGA, xA and PPDA alongside odds movement to assess chance quality, defensive strength and pressing intensity in the English top flight.

Full Methodology & Data Sources

Where to Bet

The betting site referenced has been independently reviewed under our published review methodology, which evaluates odds and market depth, licensing and security, payment processes, withdrawal reliability, responsible gambling tools and additional platform criteria relevant to user experience and regulatory standards.

Transparency & Safety

This preview was last updated on Apr 17, 15:01 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, predicted and confirmed lineups, advanced performance metrics and market movement.


All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Football Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.

Historical performance for our main match predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.

Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.

18+ (or legal age). If gambling is causing harm or distress, support is available. Visit our Gamble Responsibly hub for safer gambling tools, self-exclusion options and local helplines.
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