Comparing how we’ve played this season under Maresca and Rosenior to the same fixtures last season. It’s excluding the two matches under McFarlane against Man City and Fulham away.
Some takeaways:
– The xGA under Maresca this season was much worse than last season. It wasn’t really noticeable since Sanchez was really good in the first half of the season (conceding 21 goals to 29 xGA)
– Under Maresca we dropped 8 points compared to the same matches last season, and the xPts got worse by about 5.7. Stats-wise, performances under Maresca this season were worse than last season
– Under Rosenior, we’ve conceded 6 more goals compared to last season, but the xGA is only a little worse than last season, and the attack is a little better, so it probably balances out with only a 1.8 xGD improvement.
– Under Rosenior we’ve only dropped 1 point compared to last season’s fixtures, and we’re +2.9 on xPts.
– Of the remaining fixtures, we got 7 points in those same matches last season (plus we have to play Sunderland away). If we match those results and beat Sunderland, we end up on 58 points, which wouldn’t be enough for CL. But beating Forest and Brighton and avoiding defeat against Liverpool would probably do it.
I can tell you we never have ever lost 4 games in 5 , leave alone 3 in a row and first time in 28 years haven’t scored a goal in 3 games in a row… Looking at next fixtures United and Brighton..gulp
flex_tape_salesman on
We were set to fall had maresca stayed on. His 2 previous seasons he needed a cushion and tailed off in the middle of the season. It seems like our ok early season form was him pushing hard again. I find it hard to believe that there wasn’t an element if saving face when he walked away.
Regardless of who has been in charge, it was evident from the early part of this season that we were not equipped to deal with it. The signs were there for all to see.
We were dropping needless points, had disciplinary issues, Palmer being out of form, and Jackson leaving created a gaping hole in our offence compared to the previous 1.5 seasons.
Not to mention the stats coming out regarding our players running less than other teams. It’s clear that there have been physical issues as well.
JustAboutUpToSpeed on
Rosenior’s been fine. I am concerned however that the players have given up since the PSG first leg.
dsahfd on
Last season from Mid December to late April, things were dire under Maresca. We didn’t have away win in the league for Months and the only home wins were wolves, west ham, southampton, leicester and spurs. The comeback against Fulham turned around the season but it only happened on 20th April which was the equivalent of this coming weekend last year. Maresca was also helped by United and Villa being worse last season compared to now where they’re borderline uncatchable for us at this stage. His rivals were Forest and Newcastle.
Not saying I’m a fan of Rosenior but this time last year people were about done with Maresca too. I was.
Kagoshima_Luke on
What’s with all of these comparisons lately? Everyone loves to leave out the non league matches and the two trophies under Maresca. Also, anyone with eyes can see how we are playing under Rosenoir. There appears to be a major lack of belief or a mass confidence issue, possibly steaming from the PSG batterings. I would not be shocked if we drew or lost every remaining PL game.
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Comparing how we’ve played this season under Maresca and Rosenior to the same fixtures last season. It’s excluding the two matches under McFarlane against Man City and Fulham away.
Some takeaways:
– The xGA under Maresca this season was much worse than last season. It wasn’t really noticeable since Sanchez was really good in the first half of the season (conceding 21 goals to 29 xGA)
– Under Maresca we dropped 8 points compared to the same matches last season, and the xPts got worse by about 5.7. Stats-wise, performances under Maresca this season were worse than last season
– Under Rosenior, we’ve conceded 6 more goals compared to last season, but the xGA is only a little worse than last season, and the attack is a little better, so it probably balances out with only a 1.8 xGD improvement.
– Under Rosenior we’ve only dropped 1 point compared to last season’s fixtures, and we’re +2.9 on xPts.
– Of the remaining fixtures, we got 7 points in those same matches last season (plus we have to play Sunderland away). If we match those results and beat Sunderland, we end up on 58 points, which wouldn’t be enough for CL. But beating Forest and Brighton and avoiding defeat against Liverpool would probably do it.
Why tho?
https://preview.redd.it/hvnkkwkyhcvg1.jpeg?width=992&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=97f2a15c89450cb39676ebbb76f769fd2955b255
I can tell you we never have ever lost 4 games in 5 , leave alone 3 in a row and first time in 28 years haven’t scored a goal in 3 games in a row… Looking at next fixtures United and Brighton..gulp
We were set to fall had maresca stayed on. His 2 previous seasons he needed a cushion and tailed off in the middle of the season. It seems like our ok early season form was him pushing hard again. I find it hard to believe that there wasn’t an element if saving face when he walked away.
https://preview.redd.it/q6t82991mcvg1.jpeg?width=1064&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dcb949a646a5e836656bf5425995a50ce6ef3a47
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Regardless of who has been in charge, it was evident from the early part of this season that we were not equipped to deal with it. The signs were there for all to see.
We were dropping needless points, had disciplinary issues, Palmer being out of form, and Jackson leaving created a gaping hole in our offence compared to the previous 1.5 seasons.
Not to mention the stats coming out regarding our players running less than other teams. It’s clear that there have been physical issues as well.
Rosenior’s been fine. I am concerned however that the players have given up since the PSG first leg.
Last season from Mid December to late April, things were dire under Maresca. We didn’t have away win in the league for Months and the only home wins were wolves, west ham, southampton, leicester and spurs. The comeback against Fulham turned around the season but it only happened on 20th April which was the equivalent of this coming weekend last year. Maresca was also helped by United and Villa being worse last season compared to now where they’re borderline uncatchable for us at this stage. His rivals were Forest and Newcastle.
Not saying I’m a fan of Rosenior but this time last year people were about done with Maresca too. I was.
What’s with all of these comparisons lately? Everyone loves to leave out the non league matches and the two trophies under Maresca. Also, anyone with eyes can see how we are playing under Rosenoir. There appears to be a major lack of belief or a mass confidence issue, possibly steaming from the PSG batterings. I would not be shocked if we drew or lost every remaining PL game.