Everton FC – Sunderland AFC prediction & tips 17.05.2026
Everton host Sunderland at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sunday, 17.05.2026 (15:00) in a Premier League fixture on Matchday 37. The meeting pits tenth-placed Everton (49 points) against twelfth-placed Sunderland (48 points) in a contest that could influence final table positions as the season draws to a close. Referee is currently unconfirmed.
Our betting tip
Our tips
There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Everton FC’s last 5 matches.
There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of Sunderland AFC’s last 5 matches.
Everton FC have drawn or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
Sunderland AFC have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Everton FC’s last 5 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Sunderland AFC’s last 5 matches.
Our match prediction: Everton to win (1) at best available odds 1.90 with 1win; draw (X) is 3.88 at 1win and an away win (2) is 4.32 at 1win. For an alternative market, both teams to score — YES is priced 1.83 at Paripesa while NO is 1.97 at 1win. Given Everton’s marginally stronger home form and the balance of risks between attack and defence on both sides, the recommended primary stake is on a home victory. A secondary pick is both teams to score.
Rationale and markets: Everton are marginal favourites and the three-way market offers best-return clarity at 1win; for customers seeking enhanced returns a small stake on Everton -0.5 in handicap markets could improve the price where available. Considering the season scoring rates and recent head-to-heads, a BTTS (Yes) selection at Paripesa is appealing as a complementary bet to the 1X2 selection.
Everton FC
Everton have experienced a season of contrasts and their league position reflects a campaign of sporadic promise offset by inconsistency. Occupying 10th place with 49 points from 36 matches (13 wins, 10 draws, 13 defeats), Everton have scored 46 and conceded 46, a perfect balance that underlines how often their games have been finely poised. Their home record—six wins, five draws and seven defeats—shows vulnerability at Goodison/Hill Dickinson and indicates that while they can pick up valuable points on home soil, they are not impregnable.
Formally, Everton have not won any of their last five competitive matches across competitions, recording 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in that stretch. The most recent result was a 2:2 away draw at Crystal Palace, a match that highlighted both attacking intent and defensive frailty: Everton found the net twice but also conceded twice, underscoring recurring issues in transition and set-piece defending. Across the last five Premier League fixtures (including late-season carry-over matches), Everton have managed three draws and suffered two defeats; the inability to turn draws into victories has been costly.
Managerially, Moyes has sought to stabilize the side with a pragmatic approach that often blends structured defensive shape with direct attacking options. Moyes’s teams typically rely on organised midfield blocks and transitional counters; however, this season Everton have exhibited both resilience and occasional defensive lapses. Tactically, Everton may line up to press moderately high while depending on quick combinations through the final third. The selection and form of the full-backs and central midfield pairing will be crucial; if Everton secure control in midfield and exploit Sunderland’s tendency to concede, they will likely dominate possession and create the clearer chances.
In summary, Everton have shown that they can both score and concede in equal measure. Their balanced goal difference (46:46) and recent inability to win suggest that matches involving Everton remain open and competitive, but on home soil and with a slight league advantage, they represent a sensible favourite for a win in this fixture.
Sunderland AFC
Sunderland have navigated a steady, if unspectacular, season and currently sit 12th with 48 points from 36 matches (12 wins, 12 draws, 12 defeats). The Black Cats have scored 37 goals while conceding 46, which leaves them with a negative goal difference and highlights defensive vulnerabilities that have cost them in tight games. Their away record—four wins, six draws and eight defeats—shows an ability to take points on the road but also a susceptibility to being outscored away from home.
Recent form for Sunderland reads 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last five matches across competitions. Their latest result was a goalless home draw against Manchester United (0:0), a defensively disciplined display that pointed to Le Bris’s emphasis on organisation and structure. Le Bris has introduced a compact style that prioritises shape and phased pressing; Sunderland are often solid defensively but can be limited in chance creation, leading to low-scoring affairs unless opponents commit players forward and create spaces.
Tactically, Le Bris favours a balanced formation that can transition into a midfield block and quick vertical passing when recovering possession. Sunderland’s capacity to absorb pressure and then probe on the counter makes them dangerous against teams that over-commit, but their attacking output—37 goals in 36 games—is modest and places added importance on set-pieces and conversion of limited chances. Away fixtures have exposed occasional difficulties in sustaining intensity for the full 90 minutes, and their tendency to concede in the second half of matches should be noted.
Against Everton, Sunderland will likely emphasise discipline and seek to frustrate the hosts, aiming to exploit turnovers and set-piece opportunities. If they can break Everton’s rhythm and get early possession in advanced positions, Sunderland can create scoring chances; if not, their matches risk becoming low on goals and high on tactical attrition. Le Bris’s approach has made Sunderland difficult to beat at times, which explains the dozen draws this season, but finding a clinical edge in front of goal remains a persistent challenge.
Last direct encounters
The most recent meeting between these sides finished 1:1 after regular time and extra time, with Sunderland prevailing 3:0 on penalties in the cup encounter. Over the last five competitive meetings across competitions, Everton have the superior record with three wins, one draw and one win for Sunderland. That recent cup result demonstrates Sunderland’s composure in high-pressure moments, while the broader H2H record suggests Everton have generally had the edge.
Performance
Last games
2026-02-23T20:00:00Z
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Everton0:1Man Utd
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2026-02-28T15:00:00Z
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Newcastle2:3Everton
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2026-03-03T19:30:00Z
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Everton2:0Burnley
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2026-03-14T17:30:00Z
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Arsenal2:0Everton
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