Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips and Stats - European Football

Bournemouth v Crystal Palace

Tomorrow, 14:00 Ismaila Sarr 1+ Shot on Target

Arguably THE form player for Crystal Palace in 2026, the Senegalese winger has 5 goals in his last 8 appearances in all competitions and is a consistent shooting threat whoever the Eagles come up against. Across his last 10 Premier League starts, he has tested the opposing goalkeeper in 7 of those, including 2 shots on target in 3 of his last 4 (vs Liverpool, Spurs and Manchester United). That record extends to a shot on target in 10 of his last 15 (1.21 p90) and 13 of his last 20 (1.11 p90), showing a consistency of getting into good attacking opportunities every game rather than a couple of trigger happy matches skewing his averages.

He has carried this consistency into the Conference League too, albeit against weaker opposition, but as one of the first names on Oliver Glasner’s team sheet, his team mates know how to get the best out of him in the final third and he will always find good positions to get shots off from.

Adam Wharton 2+ Fouls Committed

Whilst it is generally his passing range that the Palace and England midfielder is rightly lauded for, there is another side to his game with his ability to break up play and slow down opposition attacks that is less spoken about with Wharton. Across his last 10 Premier League starts (stretched over a few months due to injury issues), he is averaging 2.14 fouls per 90, with this line landing in 5 of those starts (plus one additional game thanks to Super Sub). Within that, he had 5 against Wolves and 4 vs Chelsea, showing a capacity to really go over this line without necessarily getting himself into trouble with the referee.

Adding in his FA Cup and Conference League exploits and it’s 2.05 p90 across his last 15, fouling twice or more in 8 of those whilst generally playing a minimum of 80-85 minutes. Up against a very strong foul winner in the Bournemouth midfield in the shape of Alex Scott, Wharton will need to play it clever to stop the Palace midfield being overrun in this one.

Crystal Palace 5+ Corners

This looks like a slight bit of value based on the last 10 league games for both sides, in which this line has landed 4 times for both Palace away from home and for Bournemouth’s opponents at The Vitality. Palace actually won the corner count 8-5 last time out at Anfield despite suffering defeat, whilst also hitting this line at Newcastle, Leeds and Forest (coming within one corner at Brighton, Sunderland and Fulham).

Meanwhile, the Cherries have given up 5 or more at home to Man United, Liverpool, Spurs and Arsenal and have only twice kept their visitors below 3 (Leeds and Chelsea). That hit rate jumps to 50% each when just taking their last 10 league games total and ignoring the home/away splits, and in what should be a fairly open affair, with Palace also comfortably ahead in their Conference League tie that this match splits, I can see corners potentially flowing for both sides here and the prices are far more appealing on Palace.

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Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Team News & Current Form

Bournemouth come into this clash unbeaten in 14 Premier League games, a streak that stretches back to a 3-2 defeat to Arsenal on the 3rd of January. Since then, they’ve gone on a run that has rapidly propelled them into European contention and there’s a strong chance they will qualify for continental football for the first time ever this season.

Those 14 games include wins over Newcastle, Arsenal and Liverpool although also a run of 5 successive draws. The only definite absences will be Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook, both potentially now out for the season, whilst impressive young full back Julio Soler also seems unlikely to feature due to a muscle injury.

Palace meanwhile are facing mixed fortunes in the league but are making up for it by being a game away from the Conference League final and yet more silverware to add to Oliver Glasner’s remarkable tenure in charge. It’s 2 wins, 2 draws and a defeat last time out to Liverpool in their last 5 league fixtures, seeing them sat in 13th place, but such is the tightness of the midtable this year, that only puts them 6 points off their hosts in 7th.

Whilst forwards Evann Guessand and Eddie Nketiah are still out, they’ve been bolstered by the recent return of Jean-Philippe Mateta (who looks a nice price at 3.1 to score anytime) and have no fresh injury worries heading into this match.

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