Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace
Italian Serie A team Fiorentina host Premier League club Crystal Palace in the second leg of this Europa Conference League quarter-final at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Thursday 16 April. Palace won the first leg 3-0.
Go For Under 2.5 for This Encounter
We’re more than happy with the odds of -123 when it comes to betting Under 2.5 Goals, with the Total Goals market affording us this price. Fiorentina and Crystal Palace might not net too many between them.
Both Teams Won Last Time Out
Fiorentina landed a home win on Monday night, overcoming Lazio by a 1-0 scoreline at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A. La Viola ended up with just 34% possession and had two shots on target, with Robin Gosens netting the winner in the 28th minute.
Crystal Palace claimed a 2-1 Premier League home win over Newcastle United at Selhurst Park at the weekend. The South London team managed five shots on goal and had 42% possession, while Jean-Philippe Mateta netted twice.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Palace beat Fiorentina 3-0 at home in the first leg. Palace enjoyed 51% possession and had four shots on target to two, with Jean-Philippe Mateta, Tyrick Mitchell and Ismaila Sarr finding the net at at Selhurst Park.
Fiorentina – Last 10 League & Europa Conference League Games
Fiorentina have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. The Florence club have averaged 50.8% possession, 451.4 passes and 4.4 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 12.7 attempts and 4.1 corners.
Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Roberto Piccoli and Albert Gudmundsson are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Jack Harrison, Albert Gudmundsson and Rolando Mandragora are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie David de Gea managing 3 clean sheets.
Crystal Palace – Last 10 League & Europa Conference League Games
Palace have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.2 shots on goal, 13.6 attempts and 1.5 goals. Oliver Glasner’s side average 58.7% possession, 505.5 passes, 4.8 corners taken and 3.1 corners against them, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 8.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.
Ismaila Sarr is the leading goalscorer with 6, Jean-Philippe Mateta has 3, with Maxence Lacroix and Evann Guessand getting 2. Adam Wharton has been the top assist maker on 3, with Dean Henderson and Walter Benitez collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Fiorentina predicted lineup (4-3-3): David de Gea (GK), Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens, Giovanni Fabbian, Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Jack Harrison, Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson.
Crystal Palace predicted lineup (3-4-3): Dean Henderson (GK), Chris Richards, Maxence Lacroix, Jaydee Canvot, Daniel Munoz, Adam Wharton, Daichi Kamada, Tyrick Mitchell, Ismaila Sarr, Jean-Philippe Mateta, Yeremy Pino.
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips
Our expert Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -123 when it comes to Under 2.5 Goals. We don’t think this Europa Conference League quarter-final will be a goalfest.
A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Europa Conference League stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.
Key Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Europa Conference League & league stats:
The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Fiorentina games at home.The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Fiorentina games.The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Fiorentina games at home.The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Palace games.The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Palace games.
Under 2.5 Probability
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 55.2% prospect of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
Those in search of a bigger price might consider combining the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a particular team to win. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.
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Our Match Prediction
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 14, 18:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 18:28, 14 April 2026
Player Prop Picks
Ismaïla Sarr (Palace) has managed an average of 4.4 shots in his past five away games. We recommend backing the +123 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager hopefully providing a return.
Latest Ismaïla Sarr Player Prop Odds
Goalscorer
Shots
Cher Ndour (Fiorentina) has registered two goals in his past five games on home soil. There are odds of +430 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Latest Cher Ndour Player Prop Odds
Goalscorer
Shots
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Fiorentina in their past five games, with the corner count against Crystal Palace going under 5.5 in their last five matches. We think that Fiorentina will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -108.
Europa Conference League & League Games
Fiorentina
Total
8.50
4.40
4.10
Home
10.10
6.50
3.60
Away
7.70
2.80
4.90
Crystal Palace
Total
7.90
4.80
3.10
Home
8.40
5.20
3.20
Away
9.50
5.20
4.30
Latest Corner Odds
Total Corners
Fiorentina Corners
Crystal Palace Corners
Most Corners
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Tight Affair Likely According to the Betting Sites
The latest Full-Time Result betting odds are available for this Europa Conference League clash and you can get +160 that Fiorentina win and the same price that Crystal Palace triumph. Those wanting to back the draw can get +235.
There’s the chance to back Palace at +123 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Fiorentina but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.
If you’re wagering on Total Goals, the market is far from clear over whether Unders or Overs happens. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -141 on the Both Teams to Score market.
It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Europa Conference League matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.
Full-Time Result
Half-Time Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Asian Handicap
Total Goals
Both Teams to Score
Jean-Philippe Mateta Favourite to Score the First Goal
Jean-Philippe Mateta is the market leader at +430 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Player Goals
Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace)
Moise Kean (Fiorentina)
Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)
Ismaïla Sarr (Crystal Palace)
Player Shots
Moise Kean (Fiorentina)
Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace)
Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)
Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Fiorentina Stats
Crystal Palace Stats
5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 53.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Expert Analysis by Daniel Hughes
International Football Analyst
About the Analyst
Our football previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our Football Editorial Betting Panel and Editor-in-Chief.
Europa Conference League Predictions Methodology
Our football analysis combines team news, injuries and predicted lineups with league and cup form, standings and fixture context. We use metrics such as xG, xGA, xA and PPDA alongside odds movement to assess chance quality, defensive strength and pressing intensity across global leagues.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 15, 05:34 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, predicted and confirmed lineups, advanced performance metrics and market movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Football Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our main match predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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