Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City meet in a Premier League tie on Sunday, 1 February 2026, at 16:30 GMT. Find predictions, stats, and betting tips for this high-stakes top-flight fixture below in our in-depth match preview.
Fixture Details
Home Team: Tottenham Hotspur
Away Team: Manchester City
Competition: Premier League
Matchday: 24
Date: Sunday, 1 February 2026
Kick-off Time: 16:30 GMT
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Match Overview
Match Details
Information
Competition
Premier League
Matchday
24
Date
Sunday, 1 February 2026
Kick-off Time
16:30 GMT
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Broadcast
Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League
Key Predictions & Confidence Score
Market
Prediction
Confidence
Full-Time Result
Manchester City win (8/13, Bet365)
★★★★☆
Correct Score
Manchester City 2-1 (8/1, Bet365)
★★★☆☆
Both Teams to Score
Yes (8/13, Bet365)
★★★★☆
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 (4/7, Bet365)
★★★★☆
Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis
Tip 1. Value Bet: Draw
Odds: @ 16/5 with Bet365
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: While Manchester City are clear favourites, Tottenham have a knack for raising their game against elite opposition at home. Three of the last ten meetings between these sides have ended in draws, and City have dropped points in four of their last nine away league games. Tottenham are unbeaten in their last three at home against City in all competitions. With both sides boasting attacking talent but City’s away form not always matching their home dominance, the draw offers considerable value at 16/5.
Tip 2. Player Prop Bet: Erling Braut Haaland Anytime Goalscorer
Odds: @ 8/13 with Bet365
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Haaland has scored 20 goals in 23 matches this season, leading the Premier League golden boot race. His shot accuracy is formidable, with nearly 50% of his efforts hitting the target, and he has converted 16 big chances already. Although odds-on, his consistency in front of goal and City’s attacking output make him a strong candidate to score. Tottenham have conceded 31 goals in 23 matches, and Haaland’s movement and finishing could expose a defence that has looked vulnerable against top-class strikers.
In-Depth Match Analysis
Recent Form and Performance
Manchester City enter this fixture second in the Premier League table with 46 points from 23 matches, boasting 14 wins, 4 draws, and only 5 losses. Their goal difference (+26) is the best in the division after scoring 47 and conceding just 21. City’s attacking metrics are outstanding: 324 shots at goal (league-high), a pass accuracy of 88.22%, and an average possession of 59.53% per match. Their recent run has seen them dominate weaker opposition, but they have occasionally struggled to break down teams away from home.
Tottenham Hotspur, meanwhile, sit 14th with 28 points from 23 matches (7 wins, 7 draws, 9 defeats) and a modest +2 goal difference. Spurs have found the net 33 times and conceded 31, with a pass accuracy of 81.86% and slightly above-average possession (52.10%). Their form has been inconsistent, especially against top-six sides, but they have shown resilience at home, recently shutting out City in a surprise 2-0 away win in August.
Tactical Breakdown
Thomas Frank has instilled a flexible approach at Tottenham, shifting between a 4-2-3-1 and a 3-4-3 depending on the opposition. Spurs look to play progressive football, building from the back with full-backs pushing high and forwards pressing aggressively. However, this can leave them exposed to fast transitions – something Manchester City excel at exploiting.
Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City will likely dominate possession, utilising their trademark 4-3-3 with inverted full-backs and an emphasis on positional play. City’s midfield, anchored by Rodri and supported by the creative talents of Foden and Doku, will aim to control the tempo and pin Spurs deep. Expect City to patiently probe, with Haaland the focal point for through balls and cutbacks.
Key Player Matchups
Richarlison vs. Ruben Dias: Tottenham’s main goal threat (7 goals) will need to outmanoeuvre City’s defensive leader if Spurs are to break through.
Jeremy Doku vs. Pedro Porro: Doku leads City in expected assists (4.56) and will test Tottenham’s right-back with his dribbling and creativity.
Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis
Statistic
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
League Position
14th
2nd
Goals Scored
33
47
Goals Conceded
31
21
xG (Expected Goals)
26.59
38.21
xGA (Expected Goals Against)
Data not available
Data not available
Date
Result
Competition
23 Aug 2025
Manchester City 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League
26 Feb 2025
Tottenham Hotspur 0-1 Manchester City
Premier League
23 Nov 2024
Manchester City 0-4 Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League
30 Oct 2024
Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Manchester City
League Cup
14 May 2024
Tottenham Hotspur 0-2 Manchester City
Premier League
Player Spotlight: Erling Braut Haaland
Erling Haaland remains Manchester City’s most potent weapon. With 20 goals in 23 matches this season, he boasts an exceptional strike rate. Haaland’s shot accuracy stands at just under 50% – meaning almost one in every two shots he takes hits the target – and he has scored 16 big chances, underlining his clinical edge. Though his expected assist (xA) metric is low (0.63), his job is to finish City’s intricate build-up play. Against a Tottenham defence that has conceded 31 in 23, Haaland’s movement and finishing could be decisive.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Who is the favourite to win the Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City match?
Manchester City are clear favourites, with superior form, stats, and a deeper squad. Bookmakers price City at 8/13 (Bet365) for the win.
What are the best betting odds for this match?
The best odds for City to win are 8/13 (Bet365), the draw is 16/5 (Bet365), and over 2.5 goals is 4/7 (Bet365). For a value alternative, the draw at 16/5 is worth considering.
Where can I watch the Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City match?
The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League. Check your local listings for exact coverage.
Conclusion & Key Takeaways
Manchester City enter this clash as firm favourites, with the data showing clear superiority in goals, xG, possession, and defensive solidity. However, Tottenham have a respectable home record against City and possess enough attacking threat to trouble the visitors. Key battles such as Richarlison vs. Dias and Doku vs. Porro could prove decisive. Our top value pick is the draw at 16/5, while Haaland to score anytime remains a strong player prop despite short odds. For those seeking more football betting opportunities, explore our football betting sites and the latest Premier League winner odds for the current campaign.
Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling
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